Discuss 22GW to 11GW - DECC halve solar ambition in the Solar PV Forum | Solar Panels Forum area at ElectriciansForums.net
72. At 11.9GW the central 2020 deployment projection is considerably less than the central estimate in the draft February Phase 2A IA at 22GW. This is largely because PB's estimate for the cost of large scale PV installations is significantly higher than in their February report, and PB projects much slower reductions in installation costs from 2014 onwards than previously estimated. Furthermore, it is assumed that investor hurdle rates are higher than before, leading to less uptake at a given tariff. The sensitivity of deployment to these assumptions is analysed through scenarios in the “Sensitivities” section below. This shows a possible range of deployment of 3.5GW to 21.1GW in 2020.
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