Do we know the actual water usage rate ? Or how does it work in this test to reflect daily DHW consumption?
I was wondering that - to be honest I'm less than impressed with this presentation given that Narec have had shedloads of public funding, not to even include a basic method statement, or details of hot water consumption levels etc is pretty bad.
From what I can tell, I'd suspect that there is very little hot water use from the cylinder, and they've got the system set to attempt to heat the cylinder to 55 degrees, so right at the top of the possible temperature range, and right at the least efficient point.
I suspect that it's mainly just keeping the temperature topped up between 50-55 degrees, compensating for thermal losses through the insulation - something they seem to acknowledge in this bit.
The COP rises to 1.68 on Jan 22nd due to an increased hot water demand (approx double) when conducting verification of the tap cycle control system; suggesting unit performance improves when subjected to higher loading.
As with all heat pumps, thermodynamic panels will operate at their least efficient point when heating to 50-55 degrees, so setting up an experiment in such a way that they're going to be operating at that least efficient point the majority of the time isn't exactly being fair to the technology.
I've backwards calculated from the 2.289kWh thermal losses, and 0.41 COP gain when including those losses, that the actual hot water use would have been in the region of 58l per day (assuming raising the water temp from 5 to 55 degrees).
The average hot water use per household given by the EST is 122l per day, so I'd at least have expected this experiment to have emulated the average conditions, rather than using half the average hot water consumption.
My suspicion would be that the system isn't really capable of achieving 55 degrees water temperature, as the top end of the standard heat pump range at the condensor is usually 55 degrees, and there has to be some level of temperature differential between the condensor and the water for the heat to be transferred. This would account for the really bad COP levels, as the unit will essentially be running for a fair amount of time to achieve the last few degrees of temperature rise.
If we were setting this up, I'd be setting the target water temperature to a maximum of 50 degrees to give the thermodynamic system a fighting chance of achieving some reasonable efficiency figures while still avoiding any issues with legionella, and ensuring at least 120l a day of hot water consumption at average consumption patterns.